Thursday Morning Weather Brief — August 21, 2025
Good Thursday morning!
Here is the latest on the wildfires from the Provincial Government:
Kingston FIre
No change in size as of last evening’s update
Lots of aerial support on Wednesday
Fire has been most active on the southern and western boundary, and that’s where the actioning was on Wednesday.
Ground crews from NL and ON continued suppression efforts on the northeastern edge and along the southern boundary of the wildfire. CAF addressed persistent hot spots
Paddy’s Pond Fire
Classified as ‘Being Held’.
Ground crews from BC worked the southeast corner and western edge along the transmission line. This work continues today.
Martin Lake Fire
Classified as ‘Being Held’
Future growth is not anticipated at this time.
Ground crews continue to make good progress on those spots throughout the day with helicopters bucketing to assist with containment.
Today will be very much the same.
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We are starting the day with clear skies across the Province as we begin the day. Temperatures range from near 4º in Nain to the lower teens in southern areas of Newfoundland as of 5:30 AM (5 AM ADT). As we begin the day and start to roll out the door(s) temperatures may be a tad warmer within the next hour or so.
Expect a sunny day over much of the Province with temperatures climbing into the upper teens to lower 20s this afternoon. The wind speeds will generally be lower than yesterday for most areas as an area of high pressure builds in between yesterday’s low and Hurricane Erin.
The exception to the sun today will be for coastal Labrador and the Northern Peninsula, where clouds and even some showers will move in later today as the low-pressure centre from yesterday moves back in from the North Atlantic a little bit. Temperatures in these areas will be cooler, particularly in coastal Labrador, where highs only reach the single digits.
Hurricane Erin Update
Hurricane Erin remains a Category 2 Hurricane this morning, with sustained winds of 165 km/h (105 mph). The storm is moving north-northeast at 28 km/h (17 mph) and has a central pressure of 945 mb. The centre is located 320 km southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and 750 km west of Bermuda.
Tropical Storm conditions are occurring on the North Carolina Outer Banks as Erin is turning north-northeast. Beachgoers on the United States East Coast are being cautioned not to swim into the life-threatening surf and rip currents.
The forecast for Erin continues to show the storm’s centre will pass well southeast of Newfoundland and Atlantic Canada between Friday and early Sunday. I want to be clear when I say that direct impacts from Erin to Atlantic Canada and Newfoundland and Labrador will be almost none. At this time, I’m not expecting any rain or significant wind from the storm over land in Newfoundland and Labrador.
Saturday will be a little breezy, with wind speeds from the north gusting as high as 50 km/h in some coastal areas. And while that may seem high, it’s not out of the ordinary.
The one element some of you will notice from Erin is the waves. Wave heights begin to build along southern, eastern-facing shores of the Island beginning late Friday and will peak late Saturday night before slowly subsiding on Sunday.
Waves near shore will be 2 to 4 metres at their peak. If you’re planning on taking part in the recreational groundfish fishery this weekend, please check the Marine Forecast, as sea state conditions may be challenging for small craft due to the combination of onshore wind (normal speeds) and waves from Erin being in relative close proximity.
My next forecast update will be posted this afternoon.