Chilly Start for Parts of Newfoundland, But a Quieter Stretch of Weather Ahead... Sort of
Today’s forecast highlights:
Light snow and pockets of flurries will become common over much of Newfoundland tonight.
Snowfall amounts will generally be 5 cm or less.
An area of low pressure will pass southeast of the Avalon Peninsula between Friday night and Saturday — most of the snow will remain offshore, but some will make it onto the Avalon. Accumulations at this time appear to be 5 cm or less.
More flurries will fly over the Avalon and some areas of eastern Newfoundland on Sunday. There will also be some light snow that develops along the coast of Labrador on Sunday.
A stalled low in the North Atlantic will bring rain and snow to much of the Province between later Monday and Wednesday.
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Tonight: Not as Cold, But Some Snow Around
Tonight won’t be nearly as cold as last night for most of Newfoundland. Cloud cover, along with developing flurries and patches of light snow, will help moderate temperatures somewhat. Labrador will see flurries overnight as well.
Temperatures will dip into the minus single digits over much of Newfoundland, while western Labrador drops into the minus teens and 20s.
Friday: Cold in Labrador, Near Freezing on the Island
Friday will bring mostly sunny skies to Labrador, with daytime highs around −11 to −14°C. Across Newfoundland, highs will range from near 0 to −2°C, with some areas briefly climbing above freezing. The exception will be St. Anthony, where highs stay closer to −8°C.
A few flurries are expected, though they’ll be less widespread than what we’ll see tonight.
Snowfall: Light for Most, Heavier in a Few Spots
Snowfall amounts through Friday evening will generally be modest:
Most of Newfoundland & Labrador: a couple of centimetres
West Coast: around 5 cm, with up to 10 cm possible in higher terrain
Northeast Coast: a narrow corridor from Lumsden toward Carmanville, east of Twillingate and into Fogo Island may exceed 5 cm
This is not a major winter storm, but drivers should be aware of potentially slippery conditions Friday morning, especially through central and northeastern Newfoundland.
Weekend Outlook: Cold, Breezy, and Mostly Quiet
The weekend looks fairly quiet across the province. It stays cold — great conditions for outdoor winter activities like skating, skiing, and sledding — though it will be a bit breezier than today.
A low pressure system developing off the eastern U.S. seaboard will pass southeast of Newfoundland Friday night into Saturday. Right now, most guidance keeps the bulk of the snow offshore. The Avalon could see a couple of centimetres, but the odds of significant snowfall remain low.
That said, confidence isn’t perfect. The system’s track has been wavering, so snowfall chances range from nothing at all to a few centimetres, with the most likely outcome being on the lower end.
Early Next Week: More Active, Milder, and Messy
Looking ahead to early next week, things get more interesting. A pair of low pressure systems are expected to merge south of Greenland, creating a blocking pattern that allows milder air to move into the province.
From Monday through Wednesday, much of Newfoundland and coastal Labrador could see periods of snow and rain, with precipitation types changing over time.
Higher terrain and parts of Labrador: potential for significant wet snow
Coastal areas: mainly rain
Avalon: a rain/snow battle
Central & northeastern Newfoundland: areas to watch for heavier snowfall
This is a tricky setup and will need refining over the coming days.
I’ll have my next update posted tomorrow morning!
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